|
|
Post by longstop on Dec 17, 2021 21:39:14 GMT
BTW, tiptoes - it might be an idea to change the title of this thread to e.g. "By-elections" When members see Hartlepool in the title, they might assume it's one of your more esoteric threads! Just a thought. Wish granted, flashblade. The bill for £10 will be emailed separately. |
|
|
|
Post by liquidskin on Dec 17, 2021 21:59:29 GMT
I had a bi-election once. Never again man.
|
|
|
|
Post by tiptoes on Mar 4, 2022 13:07:30 GMT
Back down to earth for LDs in Erdington after NW Shropshire. Just 1% on a low turnout and 5th place behind Green. Must be a record by election low for them.
|
|
|
|
Post by tiptoes on Apr 15, 2022 5:12:02 GMT
So Imran Khan, the outgoing homosexual Conservative MP for Wakefield (not Dewsbury as I stated earlier) is to resign ahead of his pending conviction for a sexual offence against an underage boy. This will be a tough test for the Conservatives.
However, a criminal conviction for the disgraced MP of a sitting party doesn't always mean a poisoned chalice for his/her replacement. Think Eastleigh when the LDs won the by election after Chris Hulme's motoring fraud or Labour's victory in Peterborough albeit on a very small percentage of votes.
In Batley, the Conservatives nearly won the seat from Labour, so with a local candidate (take note) and a popular policy of processing asylum seekers in Rwanda to please the white working classes all may not be lost and will give the Tories the shot in the arm they need to sink Labour. As for the LDs...
I saw a documentary on Wakefield prison recently, where Jeremy Bamber amongst others is serving his time. What few former prison lags they interviewed wouldn't be candidates for Mensa based on their intellect (or lack of it). But what marked this penal institution out from others was that there was no segregation, rule 43, for sex offenders. Another concern for Imran.
|
|
|
|
Post by tiptoes on May 3, 2022 12:59:26 GMT
Neil Parish's misdemeanor of watching pornography in Parliament was idiotic and irresponsible thus he has been forced to resign from the Conservative Party and stand down as an MP creating a vacancy in Tiverton & Honiton.
Yet the baying of blood which led up to this resignation from Parliamentarians of all sides has been absent from another Tory MP whose behaviour has been much more salacious. Jamie Wallis was a Director of a tawdry Sugar-Daddy dating site and has recently been charged for a motoring offence. If that was not bad enough his private life makes Parish's behaviour look like a saint.
Wallis was/is married with children but went on a gay dating site from where he hooked up with a bloke and by his account only declined sex because the suitor didn't have a condom so what intimacy that took place was non consensual. He has subsequently made public his wish to transition to a woman to compound the earlier betrayal to his wife and kids. Yet incredibly these actions devoid of upright morals are deemed lesser sins than the hapless Parish and no pressure has been brought to bear that Wallis should resign from the Conservatives or his Parliamentary seat.
Not so long ago, this sequence of events would have been a stretch for a Monty Python parody but is now the face of modern Conservatism. Maggie Thatcher must be turning in her grave.
|
|
|
|
Post by tiptoes on Jun 24, 2022 5:42:43 GMT
Appalling result in Tiverton for the Tories, even worse than Christchurch back in 1993 when LD overturned a massive majority and John Major got slaughtered in the subsequent 1997 GE.
However Wakefield result was not the same triumph for Labour with a smaller swing which shows red wall seats are less brittle than traditional middle class Tory constituencies and where the Conservative focus probably needs to be to retain them for any hope of holding power after 2024. So while sending bogus asylum seekers to Rwanda and keeping fossil fuels for our energy needs won't upset recent traditional midland and northern working class it may not play so well with the holier than thou, do gooding, LGBTQ loving people parading their woke credentials in the shire counties.
|
|
|
|
Post by liquidskin on Jun 25, 2022 14:13:39 GMT
Nobody's going to Rwanda. It's against their LGBTQs.
Nobody cares about by-elections either. Or Pathetic Southgate. That's astonishing that last one. People need to wake up to the important things in Engerland.
|
|
|
|
Post by tiptoes on Jul 3, 2022 7:12:41 GMT
The Govt need a by election in Tamworth like a whole in the head. But after the shenanigans of the sitting Tory MP, Chris Pincher, and his drunken predatory homosexual behaviour this maybe impossible to avoid.
Dreadful leadership from Johnson, not just in his slowness in withdrawing the party whip from this buffoon, but in giving Pincher a ministerial job especially in the whips office, as this man had history in alleged unwanted homosexual advances on innocent parties.
Could be a test for the pact between Lab and LD as to how they cooperate in a potential by election as Labour are the traditional opponents but it is a seat that could attract significant LD support, and LD seem to be much better at fighting by elections in constituencies where they have a winning chance than the unpopular Starmer and the Labour Party.
|
|
|
|
Post by tiptoes on Dec 2, 2022 12:14:07 GMT
Not a good result in Chester for Conservative. Not disastrous but very disappointing. A good turnout for a by election, 41%, which is also ominous for them. All a far cry from Hartlepool and even Batley when Starmer was hanging by a thread. He's not yet a shoo-in as next PM but highly probable.
|
|
|
|
Post by tiptoes on Jun 11, 2023 12:01:20 GMT
Wonder whether these 3 by elections may yet be a blessing in disguise for the PM.
Although the Conservatives could lose all 3, Mid Beds, Nadine Dorries old seat (the proud working class Liverpudlian with no trace of a scouse accent) might prove problematic for the 2 main opposition parties with long term collateral damage.
Labour have nearly always come a weak 2nd but well ahead of LDs. The LDs know Labour are the obvious alternative in Uxbridge and Selby, but with LDs performing so well in Oswestry (Shropshire) earlier on in this Parliament overturning a huge Conservative lead, and seeing Mid Beds is a similar Middle England rural constituency with the same type of demographic they'll see themselves as obvious successors. But the Mid Beds Labour Party and the Leadership might see things differently. If the Tories came through the middle any cosy future electoral arrangements between Labour and LD could be scuppered.
|
|
|
|
Post by tiptoes on Jun 13, 2023 7:10:24 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by tiptoes on Jun 15, 2023 8:47:39 GMT
I wonder whether Nadine Dorries's likely decision not to stand down yet as MP thus delaying the by election maybe a ruse to help the Conservatives rather than an act of spite against Rishi Sunak.
The Tories have yet to name a candidate and whilst Labour might have used all their resources fighting Selby and Uxbridge, they can now deploy them later so dont need to step aside for the LDs especially if they (Labour) win the aforementioned thus building up a head of steam, so by splitting the opposition vote the Tories will hope they can come through the middle and win.
|
|
|
|
Post by tiptoes on Jul 20, 2023 17:26:05 GMT
I won't be staying up to see the Conservatives get a drubbing in all 3 seats, even Uxbridge where ULEZ is proving unpopular and the main focal point.
Maybe the lower than expected inflation rate and new battery plant in Somerset could stem the anti Tory tide in Somerton & Frome but not enough to dent the swing needed for an LD victory.
Carol Vorderman will be having multiple orgasms by dawn tomorrow on the back of this.
|
|
|
|
Post by tiptoes on Jul 21, 2023 6:08:44 GMT
I won't be staying up to see the Conservatives get a drubbing in all 3 seats, even Uxbridge where ULEZ is proving unpopular and the main focal point. Maybe the lower than expected inflation rate and new battery plant in Somerset could stem the anti Tory tide in Somerton & Frome but not enough to dent the swing needed for an LD victory. Carol Vorderman will be having multiple orgasms by dawn tomorrow on the back of this. Well, well, Tories hold on in Uxbridge so Rishi isn't the first PM since Harold Wilson in the late 60s to lose 3 by elections on a single night. Not all the Labour Party will be rejoicing over the outcome in Selby seeing it as a portend for the future. Those In London seats will be looking over their shoulders nervously as will Mayor Khan who must be on his way out. |
|
|
|
Post by tiptoes on Jul 22, 2023 17:18:03 GMT
Paradoxically it's the Uxbridge result that is weighing most heavily in the political air spoiling the success in Selby. Ulez is Labour's poll tax with Starmer grumbling that his policies are wrong if the Tories are publicising them to increase their chances of winning.
Those leftie journalists gloating on Friday morning, particularly in the Independent, about the scale of decline in Conservative support are now pausing for thought and could be laughing on the other side of their faces.
|
|
